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Out look for 2018 and 2019
This forecast may be updated as new information became available.
Earthquakes Tsunami and Yellowstone Super volcano
A magnitude 5.8 to 7.5 is expected to hit Alaska, Northern California and Southern California between now and December 2018.
A magnitude 5.8 to mag 8.5 is expected to hit between Oregon and Alaska between now and December 2018.
Two Tsunamis could be generated by the above mentioned earthquakes, depending on the magnitude and location, these tsunamis can ranch between halve a foot and 100ft.
Yellowstone Super volcano can erupt at any moment, but we are not expecting a eruption in 2018, but a very large earthquake swarm and up dwelling, but no eruption, if the information available should change an updated will be issued.
Due to the effects of fracking, is not clearly understood at this moment how this pressure release effects the new Madrid fault line thus no forecast will be issued for the new Madrid fault line, however this fault line can produce up to a mag 7.8 and is currently on the normal cycle.
For the winter of 2017-2018 sever winter storms are expected in northern and north eastern USA.
Drought conditions is expected in California during the beginning of 2018 and flooding during 2019.
For the winter of 2018-2019 sever winter storms are expected across the USA.
Hurricane season on the east coast is expected to start strong but due to wind shear is expected to fade out as the season continues.
Hurricane season on the west coast is expected to start off weak but is expected to intensify mostly east wards directed, as the season continues.
A high pressure system is expected to strengthen over the Atlantic ocean during this winter period.
Its effects will increase as the season continues and the following is expected:
Dry mild to hot conditions in Portugal and Spain, mostly concentrated to the west.
Wet and unsettled in Ireland and Wales.
Mixed in England and France.
Strong winds, and large snowfall totals are expected in all the countries east of France and in Scotland.
Europe is expected to have an early winter in 2018 due to a weak late season hurricane forecast.
Eastern South Africa
South East Asia
Eastern and South western South Africa
South east Asia
North eastern Argentina
South eastern Washington
North eastern Oregon
Out look for 2018 and 2019
The modern maunder minimum explained
The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation has a profound effect on the weather conditions in the northern hemisphere. On the graph you can see the warm period which had been edited from most modern graphs, the cold period of the 70’s and 80’s when scientists warned we are entering an ice age and the latest warm period where manmade global warming activists say we are killing the planet with CO2.
During the last decade excluding 2016 the Antarctic recorded record sea ice levels year upon year, and the artic reached the lowest sea ice extent ever recorded in 2012. That however is changing the artic is rebounding and Antarctic failed to record a new record level in 2016.
The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation is turning back to a cold phase, in others words not only does the northern hemisphere have to concern itself with low solar activity in 2019, but also a cold Atlantic multidecadal oscillation pattern from 2018 onward. In short very cold winters are coming to North America, Europe and Asia from 2018 onwards, not just because of a very weak solar cycle but also a cold drive from the Atlantic Ocean.
The chart above is a projection made in 2015 based on solar forcing, and oceanic forcing.
The redline is the expected change in temperature. The projection did not fore see much change in the average world temperature during 2016/2017, but a downward trend from 2017/2018 to 2019/2020 after which a strong El Nino is expected which will send temperatures back up, up to 2021/2022. From that point onwards the cooling continues to 2030 at which point the projection ends.
Due to a very weak solar uptick in 2022, and the passing El Nino a large amount of energy would have been added into the earths’ climate system, this can in theory lead to winter and summer storms unlike we have seen in over a 100 years, crop losses, property losses, and deaths due to climate will peak during this time world-wide. In theory, this can lead to a world-wide economic collapse and possibly even war, as a search for new wealth, and resources commence.
Wind speed is determent by the pressure difference between a low pressure system and a high pressure system the greater the difference the stronger the wind. High pressure systems are cause by cold air descending and low pressure systems by warm air rising.
During a solar minimum the air is colder and forms a strong high pressure system, this cause a vacuum in the upper atmosphere which sucks air in from a low pressure system, creating and even more intense low pressure system. On the surface this creates a high pressure difference between the high and low pressure systems which results in stronger then ‘so called’ normal wind speeds. During the little ice age these strong winds sunk ships, eroded coast lines and caused coastal flooding.
The most miss understood, deadliest, and most imported factor during periods of cooling is heat domes. Without heat domes, giant glaziers, more than a mile thick, cannot be build.
Heat domes trap heat, at the earths’ surface which in turn creates water vapour which in turn will eventually end up in a glazier.
Heat domes are created by high pressure systems, which are ironically created by cold air. During periods of extended low solar activity, the high pressure systems grows more intense, allowing for the formation of more intense and very deadly heat domes.
The reason why heat domes becomes so hot is because, there are no cloud formation with in a high pressure cell. Clouds reflex sun light, allowing for cooling, but since a heat domes has no clouds the temperature just keeps on building for as long as the high pressure system stays in tacked and is not moved by the Jet stream or sucked away by a low pressure system.
A super storm is created when an arctic storm is sucked into the low pressure of a hurricane or tropical depression.
This is very rare since they normally do not occur within the same season, but in a cooling world, early winter storms in November and late tropical storms in May will occur more often, thus increasing the odds that super storms like Sandy can be born more often.
Super storms, are known for their enormous physically size, intense rain in the south western corner, snow in the northern western corner, and powerful winds, and in some cases tornadoes. These storms are massive, and can be stretch out over thousands of miles.
Extended low solar activity increases glazier grow, raises ground water levels in some places and decrease it in others, the earths tectonic plate system adjusts for these new weight placements, this leads to earthquakes in diverse places. In a few cases this can trigger tsunamis, infrastructure damage, and loss of income and in some case death.
Extended low solar activity increases glazier grow, raises ground water levels in some places and decrease it in others, the magma underneath the earths tectonic plate system adjusts for these new weight placements, by releasing pressure in the form of volcanic activity, historical accounts from the little ice age confirms this. Large volcanic eruptions can lead to property damage, air traffic disruptions, death, food shortage and extreme regional cooling; Super volcanoes can trigger extreme planetary cooling.
The modern maunder minimum explained
SOTT Earth Changes Summary – March 2017: Extreme Weather, Planetary Upheaval, Meteor Fireballs
Planetary environmental chaos continued unabated this month. Several spectacular fireballs were seen from one end of the world to the other. Wildfires ravaged several mid-West states while unusually strong winds hit Illinois and New York. Madagascar got slammed by a ferocious storm as did Brazil, New Zealand and France. Severe flooding hit several parts of the globe, but the worst affected was Peru where dozens of people died and hundreds of thousands have been left with no homes. With freak tidal waves from Iran to South Africa, strange ‘gas’ explosions in the UK and methane gas leaks in Russia, not to mention snow off the coast of Africa and lightning scoring direct strikes on cars, March was a pretty intense month for the planet and its inhabitants.
SOTT Earth Changes Summary – March 2017: Extreme Weather, Planetary Upheaval, Meteor Fireballs
Climate Change Jupiter and Saturn #Adapt2030
Milankovitch theory postulates that periodic variability of Earth’s orbital elements is one of the climate forcing mechanisms. Although controversial, ample geologic evidence supports the role of the Milankovitch cycles in climate, e.g. glacial-interglacial cycles. There are three Milankovitch orbital parameters: orbital eccentricity (main periodicities of ~100,000 and ~400,000 years), precession (quantified as the longitude of perihelion, main periodicities 19,000-24,000 years) and obliquity of the ecliptic (Earth’s axial tilt, main periodicity 41,000 years).
As you can see on the graph below, we are currently at the same orbit and ecliptic where ice ages have started from in the past.
The earth’s ecliptic plain changes due to Jupiter and Saturn pulling on earth each time earth pass their respective orbits. The closer the gas giants are to one another when earth passes the greater the effect on the earth’s orbit around the Sun.
This process takes a long time and as you can see on the graph below earth has slowly being dipping towards an ice age, over the last 8000yrs, with the exception of the last few years during which we have experienced warming. This however means that the this coming cooling period will not only be cold enough to erase the warm period we have just experience but cold enough to continue the downward trend.
Ironically not only do Jupiter and Saturn play a role in Ice Ages they also play a role in Mini Ice ages.
Jupiter and Saturn do not only pull on the earth they also pull on the sun, just like the moon causes tides on earth. This interaction affects solar activity. Low solar activity is associated with mini ice ages and higher solar activity leads to global warming like we have just had.
For a very short summary on this you can follow the link below:
Jupiter Saturn Sun
For the paper itself you can follow the link below:
Jupiter Saturn Sun
Now one has to ask if Jupiter and Saturn plays a role in the earths tilt. Many nations around the world observe sun rise and sun set very carefully, either for religious reasons or for survival reasons.
Many has reported that the sun do not rise and set at the same place anymore. This is true earths tilt is changing. The most common explanation is that the earths tilt changes over 41000years due to the way the earth orbits the sun, but this is not the only way earths tilt is changed.
Earth is always trying to balance itself, any change in weight distribution, will result in earthquakes, volcanic activity, and a change in the earths tilt.
The recent ice melt in Greenland and Antarctica due to geothermal activity changed the earths balance drastically. This lead to a change in the earths tilt, and as a result, multiple reports of the sun rising at the wrong location at the wrong time of the year.
For more on Antarctica ice melt you can follow the link below:
Antarctica ice melt
For more on Greenland ice melt you can follow this link below:
Greenland ice melt
For more on the earths tilt changing due to weight you can follow the link below
(Please note the writer of the article below clearly did not read the two articles linked above):
Climate Changing the tilt
To recap Jupiter and Saturn changes earth’s climate by affects the earth’s orbit around the sun, earth’s largest energy source, and by effecting the solar cycles. In return the changing climate leads to a new distribution of weight which leads to earthquakes, volcanic activity and changes in earth’s tilt.
It is well documented that during low solar activity periods there is a raise in seismic activity, more geothermal activity, more earthquakes and yes more volcanic erupts. For more on this subject you can watch the video below:
Or buy this book
Upheaval by John Casey
Climate Change how South Africa will change the world
Based on stalagmite growth, Banto migrations, the Zimbabwe Empire, records of farmer interactions with the Tswana tribes north of the Orange River and entries in the journal of Winston Churchill, the following conclusions was made:
Spring rainfall will slightly increase in Kwa-Zulu-Natal
Summer drought years will increase in intensity and length
Summer rain years will become shorter, but more intense.
Winter rainfall will increase country wide, but will mostly be concentrated in the south west.
Snowfall events will increase nationwide; however it will be mostly concentrated on high elevations.
The winds of the Western Cape and the skeleton coast will once again live up to their historically past strength, the colder the world gets the stronger the winds will become.
Cold periods in the past were not very kind to earlier, cattle and sheep based settlers in South-Africa. It let to the Boers breaking their agreement with the Tswana in the early 1800’s when they invaded the territory north of the Orange River in search of gracing. It triggered the fall of the once great Zimbabwe empire, some Banto tribes whom came from Uganda even turned back, to escape the harsh South African climate during cold spells.
Scientist studying global warming came to South Africa to analyse the effects of global warming on the ocean conveyor belt. In a warming world, the Agulhas Current should became thinner and faster as the Cold Benguela Current retreats. That is exactly what they expected to find, but the world is not warming and that is not what they physically found. Instead the Benguela Current is expanding since the world is not warming but cooling and the Agulhas Current is becoming thicker and more unstable. If this treat continues, as many expect it would, the world’s ocean conveyor belt will split in two, The stronger and warmer Indian and pacific ocean conveyor belt and the weaker and colder Atlantic ocean conveyor belt system.
This will trigger extreme cold weather in Europe and more intense flooding events in the eastern part of the planet. These new weather patterns will change the weight distribution around the planet and can lead to an increase in seismic activity worldwide, which can potentially in the form of volcanic eruptions lead to even more cooling.
Mini Ice Age Indie and the South Africa effect
Mini Ice Age onset
Even thou solar activity has already dropped and the current solar cycle was very weak there is a lot of energy still in the world oceans, the world oceans take about 58years to dissipate its energy. This extreme difference between available air energy and ocean irradiance can lead to extreme weather.
Making things worse is during low solar activity the earth’s atmosphere becomes more compact due to a lack of external energy, this adds more momentum to any moving air mass. The jets stream located in the upper atmosphere which drives the weather on the surface becomes more unstable and can dip closer to the equator allowing cold polar air to move into areas which had not experience cold polar air before.
The collapsing atmosphere also means that the zone in the upper atmosphere where the water vapor freezes at is closer to the earth’s surface, allowing more hail and snow formation at lower altitudes. The low solar activity also allows more galactic rays to enter the earth’s atmosphere, providing more particles in the earth’s atmosphere onto which water vapor can latch and condense into water.
The difference between the air energy levels and ocean energy levels can result in stronger winds due to the energy level difference. In nature everything always tries to form a universe equal level, no matter how small the difference, but in this case the deference is much larger then we see as ‘normal’.
El Niño, is the dominant factor during the onset of a mini ice age, leading to floods, and drought conditions at specific locations around the world. However, it’s the shorter term La Nina event that will cause the most destruction and dismay. Any onset of cooling during or after a El Nino event will lead to heavy precipitation, in the form of rain, hail, snow and ice. The El Nino event sucks the water into the atmosphere like a sponge, this builds up a very large inventory of water vapor in the atmosphere which will be released during any cooling event. Cooling itself also helps to create high pressure systems. Although high pressure systems are created by cold air, and can bring freezing temperatures, to an area, long lasting high pressure system which does not dissipates leads to dangerous and deadly heat waves, which can suck the area dry of all its water content.
Long lasting low solar activity ultimately leads to the so called ocean conveyor belt to be divided into two parts, which we will discuss in the South Africa climate change section, because this event occurs due to South Africa’s’ location on the world map. It is imported to notice that ocean levels and the placement of the landmass around the planet changes the climate we experience on earth, as does the aging sun, in other words which may hold truth today will not hold truth in the distant future, or distant past and on other alien worlds.
Like any other place in the world all of India will be affected by climate change, however it is northern India, central India and eastern India that will be affected the most. This it imported since these areas are where most of the 1.4 billion people food are produced.
As the mini ice age starts, drought and heat waves will be the biggest problem most of the time in central, north eastern and northern Indie, followed by floods and sever cold, the south and south west however, it will be less extreme. Because the weather has extreme shifts adapting to it will be very difficult, this can potentially lead to civil unrest and war, depending on how the population itself reacts to the problem. If Indie fails to import or produce enough healthy food, the immune response of the poor will decrease creating the potential for a deadly disease out brake or even out brakes.
The news are not all bad however, India unlike eastern Europe, North eastern North America and north western Asia, has supported large human populations for millions of years. This support during a mini ice age is mostly to the south but the number is much smaller than the current population level.
If solar activity continues to stay low or a cooling snowball effect is triggered, something incredible happens in India. The eastern ocean conveyor belt brings heat and water vapor to India, Pakistan, the middle-east and North Africa, creating the world’s biggest Savannah capable of supporting over 10 billion humans. Satellites had detected that during Ice Ages there are river system in North Africa, the middle-east, Pakistan and North western India which are not present during mini ice ages and global warming periods. This is made possible by the new ocean convey belt system which in the east is a lot warmer then today and in the Atlantic much colder then today.
Meteorologist Michael Wilhite
United Kingdom Weather